The US spring wheat crop appears to be in major trouble amid ongoing drought across the northern Plains.
Already down sharply from a year earlier, the condition of the national spring wheat took a huge step back this past week, dropping 10 points to fall to just 27% good to excellent as of Sunday. That was a much steeper weekly fall than expected, with pre-report trade ideas putting the crop at 33-34% good to excellent. Last year at this time, the crop was rated 75% good to excellent.
In its first condition rating for the 2021 American spring wheat crop back on May 24, the USDA put the crop at 45% good to excellent.
With continued hot, dry weather reducing soil moisture, the condition of the crop in Minnesota tumbled 20 points on the week to 48% good to excellent as of Sunday. However, that remains the best rating among the other major spring wheat production states, with No. 1 producer North Dakota down 10 points on the week to 19% good to excellent and South Dakota down 12 points to only 5%. The condition of the Montana crop fell a more modest 7 points from the previous week but was still at only 43% good to excellent as of Sunday.
In North Dakota, fully half of the 2021 spring wheat crop was rated in poor to very poor condition as of Sunday, while almost 40% of the South Dakota crop was poor to very poor.
An estimated 27% of the national spring wheat crop was headed as of Sunday, way up from 8% a week earlier, 11% last year and 18% on average.
The Minnesota crop was 62% headed, versus only 19% a week earlier and 23% on average, while the North Dakota crop was 18% headed, up 16 points on the week and 5 points ahead of average. The South Dakota and Montana crops were 64% and 14% headed, compared to 46% and 6% on average.
Source: DePutter Publishing Ltd.
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