Chicago Close: Soybeans Undermined by Improved Condition Rating 


An improved US crop condition rating weighed on soybean futures Tuesday, while corn finished slightly higher and wheat mixed. 

Monday’s USDA crop progress report pegged the American soybean crop at 70% good to excellent as of Sunday, up 4 points from the previous week and topping trade expectations. The upgrade further reinforced the notion of a large US crop this year, which will follow on the heels of a bumper South American crop. On the other hand, NOPA numbers from this morning showed a total of 185.7 million bu of US soybeans crushed in June, above trade estimates. That was down 3.69% from May, but up 5.76% from last year and a June record. August beans fell 6 cents to $9.95, and November dropped 5 ¼ cents to $10.01 ¾. 

Continued short covering and bargain buying from the previous day helped boost corn today. The national corn crop condition rating was unchanged on the week at 74% good to excellent, but still the highest for the middle of July since 2016. September gained 1 ¼ cents to $4.01 ¼, and December added 1 ¾ cents to $4.19 ¾. 

Seasonal harvest continued to overhang wheat. The crop progress report showed the US winter wheat crop at 63% harvested as of Sunday, 1 point below the 5-year average pace. The spring wheat crop was 78% headed, 3 points ahead of normal, with the national condition rating up 4 points to 54% good to excellent – still far below a year earlier. September Chicago slipped 3 ½ cents to $5.38, September Kansas City added ¾ of a cent to $5.23 ¾, and September Chicago Spring wheat dropped 6 cents to $5.81. 




Source: DePutter Publishing Ltd.

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