Statistics Canada has raised its national barley production estimate from last month, while expected oat output is little changed and still slightly above last year.
Released Wednesday, StatsCan latest model-based production estimates put 2025 national barley production at 8.228 million, up from the federal agency’s August forecast of 7.991 million. That revision not only erases last month’s projected decline but also leaves the crop 1% larger than 2024’s 8.143 million tonnes. Yields are pegged at 68.5 bu/acre, stronger than the 66.5 forecast in August and up sharply from last year’s 63.2.
For oats, Canadian production is forecast at 3.369 million tonnes this month, little changed from August’s 3.392 million but 0.4% above 2024’s 3.357 million. Yields are estimated at 90.1 bu/acre, stronger than both August’s 89.8 and last year’s 88.7.
In Alberta, this year’s barley is pegged at 4.347 million tonnes, up from 4.381 million in August but still 2.8% above last year’s 4.228 million. Average yields are now forecast at 68.9 bu/acre, modestly lower than the August call of 69.4 but well above last year’s 60.6.
Saskatchewan’s barley outlook has improved notably since August. Production is now seen at 3.073 million tonnes, compared with 2.798 million last month and 1.3% higher than 2024’s 3.033 million. Yields are estimated at 67.9 bu/acre, a sharp turnaround from the August projection of 61.8 and well above last year’s 64.9.
For oats, Saskatchewan production is now seen at 1.513 million tonnes, down slightly from 1.526 million in August but nearly matching last year’s 1.469 million. Yields are pegged at 90.2 bu/acre, softer than August’s 91 but above last year’s 86.5.
