Canola Climbs on Soy Strength, But Downtrend Holds

Canadian canola futures closed higher today, lifted by gains across the broader soy complex. November contracts rose by $8.00 to finish at $639.70 per tonne, while January added $8.10 to close at $652.20. The move higher was largely tied to strength in soybeans, soybean meal, and soybean oil, which provided the momentum needed to nudge canola off its recent lows.

Beyond price action, traders noted encouraging signals from the diplomatic front. Reports suggest the Canadian trade delegation held constructive talks with Chinese counterparts. While no formal agreements were reached, the dialogue sets the stage for future negotiations and raises hopes of improved export prospects down the road. Given China’s influence on oilseed demand, even incremental progress in talks can add a layer of optimism to the market.

That said, caution remains the dominant theme. Canola futures continue to track within a well-defined downtrend that has been in place since the June highs. Seasonal patterns also point to early October as the more likely period for price bottoms, meaning today’s bounce may not signal a reversal just yet. Without a major shift in fundamentals or fresh news, expectations for a clear break higher may prove premature.



Source: DePutter Publishing Ltd.

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