World Meat Production to Decline in 2019

There will be fewer mouths eating feedgrains in 2019, thanks mainly to the ongoing African Swine Fever outbreak in China, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)

Released Thursday, the FAO’s Food Outlook said world meat production will slide 1% in 2019 to 335 million tonnes in carcass weight equivalent, the first year-over-year decline in more than two decades, as African Swine Fever in China continues to decimate pig herds.

The drop is driven by an expected 20% contraction in Chinese pork production – twice the decline the FAO was forecasting just six months ago. Chinese hog numbers have been in freefall since August 2018, when the deadly disease was first identified in the Asian country, the world’s largest producer and consumer of pork.

However, at least some of the losses in Chinese pork output will be offset by rising chicken production, the FAO said. In the wake of the ASF crisis, poultry output in China has been rapidly ramped up and is expected to grow by 17% year-over-year, limiting the country's total meat output decline to 8%, it said.

Pork typically accounts for more than a third of worldwide meat output, poultry for 39% and beef for 21%.

Source: DePutter Publishing Ltd.

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