The Canadian canola crush increased from the previous month in September, topping 1 million tonnes.
A Statistics Canada crush report on Thursday pegged the national canola crush for September at 1.007 million tonnes, up 16% from the August crush of 867,944 and about 8% higher than the same month last year.
Two months into the 2025-26 canola marketing year, the cumulative crush stood at 1.875 million tonnes as of the end of September, just over 5% ahead of the same period a year earlier.
The 2025-26 cumulative canola crush also stood at 15.8% of the full year Agriculture Canada forecast of 11.8 million tonnes. Last year at this time, the August-September crush amounted to 15.6% of the eventual 2024-25 full year crush of 11.412 million.
In its October supply-demand update, Ag Canada said demand for Canadian canola is “switching to being domestically driven,” rather than export driven. If accurate, this year’s forecasted crush of 11.8 million tonnes, would be up 3% from 2024-25 and 15% above the five-year average.
On the other hand, 2025-26 Canadian canola exports are forecast to fall to a two-year low of 7 million tonnes, assuming China’s preliminary anti-dumping duty remains in place and there is no immediate resolution of the trade issue. Implemented in August, the duty of almost 76% has essentially halted all Canadian canola seed exports to China.
Ag Canada also said the 2025-26 canola crush forecast contains “some upside,” depending on the completion of processing plants under construction in Western Canada and their becoming fully operational.
